The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) is expected to continue tightening monetary policy at a slower pace, according to predictions by Morgan Stanley. Hande Kucuk, Morgan Stanley’s CEEMEA Economist, estimates that the policy rate will increase by 250 basis points in the next meeting. However, despite the lack of specific forward guidance from the CBRT, Morgan Stanley anticipates that the pace of tightening will slow down.
The CBRT has expressed a preference for a moderate adjustment in growth and delays in monetary transmission, which suggests that it may reduce the rate of tightening and evaluate the impact of cumulative steps on economic activity and inflation.
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